Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

18.37 – 88.23

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

42 – 107

Prediction correct · off by 21.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 275.8 ±12.2

6981Clockwork Concord

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX -12.35Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

852ARC Robotics

Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 39.08Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

670Homestead Robotics

Season APEX 184.5Event APEX -8.36Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 298.7 ±11.6

3598SEStematic Eliminators

Season APEX 121.1Event APEX 35.1Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10252Mecha Lions

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 8.59Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1857Citrus Sparks

Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 44.54Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6981, 852, 670

/ 100 compat

Projected

18.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6981, 852, 670

Auto

2.6 12%

Teleop

19.8 90%

Endgame

-0.5 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3598, 10252, 1857

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3598, 10252, 1857

Auto

16.6 21%

Teleop

23.0 29%

Endgame

40.2 50%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.09 · Blue 1.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score18.4pts

Blue projected score88.2pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -69.9
Score range: -11–117
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 149 vs event baseline 158.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

275.8Season APEX298.7

2.6Auto16.6

19.8Teleop23

-0.5Endgame40.2

79Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	19
teleop	24	54
endgame	6	24
foul	0	10
total	42	107

Result

Final score

42 – 107

Prediction correct · off by 21.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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