Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

79.95 – 50.92

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

139 – 57

Prediction correct · off by 32.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 470.3 ±11.1

4171BayBots

Season APEX 54.2Event APEX 13.04Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2473Goldstrikers

Season APEX 60.5Event APEX 3.22Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3045Gear Gremlins

Season APEX 355.6Event APEX 63.69Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 178 ±12.7

6981Clockwork Concord

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 2.38Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7413Plus Ultra

Season APEX 11.7Event APEX -4.84Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1857Citrus Sparks

Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 53.38Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4171, 2473, 3045

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.9 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4171, 2473, 3045

Auto

10.9 15%

Teleop

45.1 60%

Endgame

18.9 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6981, 7413, 1857

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.9 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6981, 7413, 1857

Auto

14.9 42%

Teleop

-7.0 0%

Endgame

27.7 78%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.7 · Blue 1.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score79.9pts

Blue projected score50.9pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 29
Score range: 24–107
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 196 vs event baseline 148.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

470.3Season APEX178

10.9Auto14.9

45.1Teleop-7

18.9Endgame27.7

7Consistency76

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	14
teleop	71	20
endgame	55	23
foul	0	0
total	139	57

Result

Final score

139 – 57

Prediction correct · off by 32.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.