Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

143.27 – 181.07

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

32 – 307

Prediction correct · off by 118.6 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 114.3 ±12.1

7413Plus Ultra

Season APEX 11.7Event APEX 20.14Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10252Mecha Lions

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 94.56Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

852ARC Robotics

Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 28.57Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 697.7 ±9.9

1458Red Tie Robotics

Season APEX 81.3Event APEX 12.47Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

971Spartan Robotics

Season APEX 282.7Event APEX 104.83Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

604Quixilver

Season APEX 333.7Event APEX 63.77Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7413, 10252, 852

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.3 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7413, 10252, 852

Auto

25.2 18%

Teleop

53.6 39%

Endgame

58.1 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1458, 971, 604

/ 100 compat

Projected

181.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1458, 971, 604

Auto

30.4 18%

Teleop

81.2 48%

Endgame

58.3 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.19 · Blue 1.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score143.3pts

Blue projected score181.1pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -37.8
Score range: 119–205
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 339 vs event baseline 132.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

114.3Season APEX697.7

25.2Auto30.4

53.6Teleop81.2

58.1Endgame58.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	70
teleop	7	136
endgame	11	101
foul	0	0
total	32	307

Result

Final score

32 – 307

Prediction correct · off by 118.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.