Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

26.31 – 139.4

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

28 – 101

Prediction correct · off by 20 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 181.4 ±12.7

1458Red Tie Robotics

Season APEX 81.3Event APEX 24.87Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6981Clockwork Concord

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX -1.68Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2473Goldstrikers

Season APEX 60.5Event APEX 3.12Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 417.2 ±11.1

971Spartan Robotics

Season APEX 282.7Event APEX 72.5Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10059Tech On Titans

Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 11Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9584Spartan Squared

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 55.9Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1458, 6981, 2473

/ 100 compat

Projected

26.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1458, 6981, 2473

Auto

8.5 40%

Teleop

13.9 65%

Endgame

-1.1 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 971, 10059, 9584

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 971, 10059, 9584

Auto

23.3 19%

Teleop

69.7 55%

Endgame

32.9 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.85 · Blue 2.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score26.3pts

Blue projected score139.4pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -113.1
Score range: -8–173
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 129 vs event baseline 188.4.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

181.4Season APEX417.2

8.5Auto23.3

13.9Teleop69.7

-1.1Endgame32.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	5	19
teleop	4	66
endgame	4	16
foul	15	0
total	28	101

Result

Final score

28 – 101

Prediction correct · off by 20 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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