Final · Finals 1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
603.95 – 279.62
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
454 – 274
Prediction correct · off by 77.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 860.1 ±9.9
Season APEX 65.8Event APEX 11.59Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 333.68Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 385.2Event APEX 258.68Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 628.1 ±9.9
Season APEX 282.7Event APEX 71.2Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 333.7Event APEX 173.44Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 11.7Event APEX 34.98Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5760, 1678, 9470
82
/ 100 compatProjected
604 pts
~2.7 RP (district)
Teams: 5760, 1678, 9470
Auto
120.3 20%
Teleop
337.6 57%
Endgame
137.0 23%
Strengths
- · 1678 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 24%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 971, 604, 7413
82
/ 100 compatProjected
279.6 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 971, 604, 7413
Auto
50.8 18%
Teleop
148.1 54%
Endgame
76.4 28%
Strengths
- · 604 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 24%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.74 · Blue 0.57
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score604pts
Blue projected score279.6pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample134alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 324.3
- Score range
- 247–637
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
860.1Season APEX628.1
120.3Auto50.8
337.6Teleop148.1
137Endgame76.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 107 | 44 |
| teleop | 225 | 126 |
| endgame | 72 | 69 |
| foul | 50 | 35 |
| total | 454 | 274 |
Result
Final score
454 – 274
Prediction correct · off by 77.8 pts
Match videos
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