Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

356.94 – 315.63

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

423 – 326

Prediction correct · off by 38.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 572.6 ±9.8

2404Team NEY Techs (TNT)

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 22.9Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7415Jaguar Robotics Sponsored By Feit Electric

Season APEX 284.3Event APEX 163.58Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6995NOMAD

Season APEX 191.6Event APEX 170.46Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 607 ±10.7

9772Titans Robotics

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 18.51Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3512Spartatroniks

Season APEX 257Event APEX 178.16Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2659RoboWarriors

A+

Season APEX 298.8Event APEX 118.96Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2404, 7415, 6995

/ 100 compat

Projected

356.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2404, 7415, 6995

Auto

80.2 23%

Teleop

193.8 56%

Endgame

74.0 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9772, 3512, 2659

/ 100 compat

Projected

315.6 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9772, 3512, 2659

Auto

31.0 10%

Teleop

200.2 63%

Endgame

85.1 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.92 · Blue 1.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score356.9pts

Blue projected score315.6pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 41.3
Score range: 280–393
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 749 vs event baseline 202.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

572.6Season APEX607

80.2Auto31

193.8Teleop200.2

74Endgame85.1

43Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	113	65
teleop	217	165
endgame	88	96
foul	5	0
total	423	326

Result

Final score

423 – 326

Prediction correct · off by 38.2 pts

Match videos

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