Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

318.62 – 242.9

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

292 – 145

Prediction correct · off by 62.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 607 ±10.7

9772Titans Robotics

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 20.11Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3512Spartatroniks

Season APEX 257Event APEX 179.67Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2659RoboWarriors

A+

Season APEX 298.8Event APEX 118.84Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 433.1 ±11.1

5089Robo-Nerds

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 69.98Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

702Bagel Bytes

Season APEX 125.8Event APEX 107.17Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2429The Blockheads

Season APEX 229.5Event APEX 65.75Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9772, 3512, 2659

/ 100 compat

Projected

318.6 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9772, 3512, 2659

Auto

33.2 10%

Teleop

201.9 63%

Endgame

84.6 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5089, 702, 2429

/ 100 compat

Projected

242.9 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5089, 702, 2429

Auto

32.3 14%

Teleop

146.1 63%

Endgame

54.3 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.22 · Blue 1.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score318.6pts

Blue projected score242.9pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 75.7
Score range: 207–355
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 437 vs event baseline 201.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

607Season APEX433.1

33.2Auto32.3

201.9Teleop146.1

84.6Endgame54.3

27Consistency7

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	13
teleop	187	73
endgame	86	29
foul	0	30
total	292	145

Result

Final score

292 – 145

Prediction correct · off by 62.3 pts

Match videos

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