Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

179.99 – 270.28

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

272 – 247

Prediction missed · off by 57.6 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 483.6 ±11.7

2659RoboWarriors

A+

Season APEX 298.8Event APEX 69.71Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6000Firehawk Robotics

Season APEX 59Event APEX 25.14Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

702Bagel Bytes

Season APEX 125.8Event APEX 85.14Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 496.7 ±11.2

696Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 145.1Event APEX 69.71Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

597The Wolverines

Season APEX 107.4Event APEX 85.14Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9084Octobots

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 115.43Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2659, 6000, 702

/ 100 compat

Projected

180 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2659, 6000, 702

Auto

36.9 21%

Teleop

80.0 44%

Endgame

63.1 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 696, 597, 9084

/ 100 compat

Projected

270.3 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 696, 597, 9084

Auto

45.7 17%

Teleop

149.2 55%

Endgame

75.4 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.21 · Blue 2.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score180pts

Blue projected score270.3pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -90.3
Score range: 144–306
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 519 vs event baseline 197.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

483.6Season APEX496.7

36.9Auto45.7

80Teleop149.2

63.1Endgame75.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	53
teleop	164	154
endgame	65	40
foul	5	0
total	272	247

Result

Final score

272 – 247

Prediction missed · off by 57.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.