Qualification · Qualification 73

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

288.29 – 64.15

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

289 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 6.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 772.5 ±8.7

9084Octobots

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 103.24Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2429The Blockheads

Season APEX 229.5Event APEX 65.25Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2659RoboWarriors

A+

Season APEX 298.8Event APEX 119.8Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 266.6 ±12.4

9505Vyserions

Season APEX 54.4Event APEX 18.38Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

11024HYPERNOVA

Season APEX 151.4Event APEX 32.89Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

22Double Deuce

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 12.88Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9084, 2429, 2659

/ 100 compat

Projected

288.3 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9084, 2429, 2659

Auto

39.2 13%

Teleop

177.1 60%

Endgame

78.4 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9505, 11024, 22

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9505, 11024, 22

Auto

32.8 50%

Teleop

20.9 32%

Endgame

12.1 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.7 · Blue 0.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score288.3pts

Blue projected score64.1pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 224.1
Score range: 29–323
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 365 vs event baseline 197.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

772.5Season APEX266.6

39.2Auto32.8

177.1Teleop20.9

78.4Endgame12.1

20Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	4	15
teleop	210	38
endgame	75	23
foul	0	0
total	289	76

Result

Final score

289 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 6.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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