Qualification · Qualification 71

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

102.16 – 3.54

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

162 – 24

Prediction correct · off by 40.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 293.5 ±12.8

8033Highlander Robotics

Season APEX 146.1Event APEX 69.5Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4964Roosevelt Robotics

Season APEX 65.8Event APEX 21.86Rank 10Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9520Rock-it Robotics

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX 10.8Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 107.6 ±13.9

10936Hooverstan

Season APEX 37.9Event APEX 5.16Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10147ArmBots

Season APEX 26.4Event APEX -9.81Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

9696Hamichanics

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 8.19Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8033, 4964, 9520

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.2 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8033, 4964, 9520

Auto

24.6 23%

Teleop

46.9 45%

Endgame

33.8 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10936, 10147, 9696

/ 100 compat

Projected

3.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10936, 10147, 9696

Auto

13.6 100%

Teleop

-8.8 0%

Endgame

3.1 39%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.23 · Blue 1.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score102.2pts

Blue projected score3.5pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 98.6
Score range: -32–138
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 186 vs event baseline 198.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

293.5Season APEX107.6

24.6Auto13.6

46.9Teleop-8.8

33.8Endgame3.1

21Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	12
teleop	82	9
endgame	31	3
foul	0	0
total	162	24

Result

Final score

162 – 24

Prediction correct · off by 40.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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