Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

417.84 – 225.64

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

464 – 354

Prediction correct · off by 87.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 699.1 ±10.7

6036Peninsula Robotics

Season APEX 334.7Event APEX 205.25Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

597The Wolverines

Season APEX 107.4Event APEX 37.12Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3512Spartatroniks

Season APEX 257Event APEX 175.47Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 483.6 ±11.7

3255SuperNURDs

A+

Season APEX 296.9Event APEX 99.11Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3328NoHoRobo

Season APEX 60.9Event APEX 31.07Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

702Bagel Bytes

Season APEX 125.8Event APEX 95.46Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6036, 597, 3512

/ 100 compat

Projected

417.8 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6036, 597, 3512

Auto

65.3 16%

Teleop

259.4 62%

Endgame

93.5 22%

Strengths

· 6036 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3255, 3328, 702

/ 100 compat

Projected

225.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3255, 3328, 702

Auto

37.2 17%

Teleop

130.6 60%

Endgame

48.8 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.66 · Blue 0.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score417.8pts

Blue projected score225.6pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 192.2
Score range: 191–453
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 818 vs event baseline 195.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

699.1Season APEX483.6

65.3Auto37.2

259.4Teleop130.6

93.5Endgame48.8

13Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	54
teleop	300	175
endgame	94	115
foul	5	10
total	464	354

Result

Final score

464 – 354

Prediction correct · off by 87.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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