Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

64.73 – 185.11

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

62 – 248

Prediction correct · off by 32.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 211.7 ±12.8

8533Rancho Reapers

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 16.29Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9772Titans Robotics

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 23.9Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2404Team NEY Techs (TNT)

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 24.54Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 328.1 ±11.6

4Team 4 ELEMENT

Season APEX 146.5Event APEX 57.72Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6934Scorps

Season APEX 102.9Event APEX 102.7Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7323TriTron

Season APEX 78.7Event APEX 24.69Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8533, 9772, 2404

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8533, 9772, 2404

Auto

12.4 22%

Teleop

28.9 52%

Endgame

14.7 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4, 6934, 7323

/ 100 compat

Projected

185.1 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4, 6934, 7323

Auto

22.0 13%

Teleop

99.6 58%

Endgame

50.1 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.91 · Blue 2.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score64.7pts

Blue projected score185.1pts

Red win probability18%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -120.4
Score range: 30–220
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 310 vs event baseline 196.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

211.7Season APEX328.1

12.4Auto22

28.9Teleop99.6

14.7Endgame50.1

10Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	23
teleop	20	129
endgame	9	96
foul	20	0
total	62	248

Result

Final score

62 – 248

Prediction correct · off by 32.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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