Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

34.29 – 110.04

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

34 – 128

Prediction correct · off by 9.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 151.2 ±13.9

10147ArmBots

Season APEX 26.4Event APEX -8.41Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

6000Firehawk Robotics

Season APEX 59Event APEX 19.21Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

4964Roosevelt Robotics

Season APEX 65.8Event APEX 23.49Rank 10Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 462.5 ±10.7

11024HYPERNOVA

Season APEX 151.4Event APEX 33.25Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9520Rock-it Robotics

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX 11.05Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2429The Blockheads

Season APEX 229.5Event APEX 65.74Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10147, 6000, 4964

/ 100 compat

Projected

34.3 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10147, 6000, 4964

Auto

24.2 70%

Teleop

3.8 11%

Endgame

6.4 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11024, 9520, 2429

/ 100 compat

Projected

110 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 11024, 9520, 2429

Auto

37.0 33%

Teleop

48.3 44%

Endgame

25.2 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.15 · Blue 2.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score34.3pts

Blue projected score110pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -75.7
Score range: -1–145
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 162 vs event baseline 196.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

151.2Season APEX462.5

24.2Auto37

3.8Teleop48.3

6.4Endgame25.2

18Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	37
teleop	19	67
endgame	5	24
foul	0	0
total	34	128

Result

Final score

34 – 128

Prediction correct · off by 9.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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