Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

273.27 – 93.84

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

255 – 27

Prediction correct · off by 42.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 652.1 ±9.9

6560Charging Champions

Season APEX 111Event APEX 66.95Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3255SuperNURDs

A+

Season APEX 296.9Event APEX 100.71Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9084Octobots

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 105.61Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 241.2 ±12.8

9696Hamichanics

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 15.11Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

8033Highlander Robotics

Season APEX 146.1Event APEX 76.36Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6658Rockbotics

Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 2.37Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6560, 3255, 9084

/ 100 compat

Projected

273.3 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6560, 3255, 9084

Auto

46.1 17%

Teleop

159.9 60%

Endgame

61.6 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9696, 8033, 6658

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9696, 8033, 6658

Auto

12.1 13%

Teleop

55.3 60%

Endgame

25.2 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.53 · Blue 0.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score273.3pts

Blue projected score93.8pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 179.4
Score range: 59–308
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 282 vs event baseline 197.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

652.1Season APEX241.2

46.1Auto12.1

159.9Teleop55.3

61.6Endgame25.2

44Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	20
teleop	141	6
endgame	45	1
foul	30	0
total	255	27

Result

Final score

255 – 27

Prediction correct · off by 42.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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