Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

251.85 – 155.17

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

246 – 113

Prediction correct · off by 24 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 467.8 ±11.7

7323TriTron

Season APEX 78.7Event APEX 25.39Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6036Peninsula Robotics

Season APEX 334.7Event APEX 205.24Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9505Vyserions

Season APEX 54.4Event APEX 21.22Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 321 ±11

2404Team NEY Techs (TNT)

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 27.78Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4Team 4 ELEMENT

Season APEX 146.5Event APEX 62.99Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5089Robo-Nerds

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 64.4Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7323, 6036, 9505

/ 100 compat

Projected

251.9 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7323, 6036, 9505

Auto

54.6 22%

Teleop

152.7 62%

Endgame

40.0 16%

Strengths

· 6036 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2404, 4, 5089

/ 100 compat

Projected

155.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2404, 4, 5089

Auto

17.7 12%

Teleop

90.9 64%

Endgame

34.1 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.2 · Blue 1.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score251.9pts

Blue projected score155.2pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 96.7
Score range: 119–288
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 359 vs event baseline 197.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

467.8Season APEX321

54.6Auto17.7

152.7Teleop90.9

40Endgame34.1

16Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	26
teleop	133	60
endgame	62	27
foul	0	0
total	246	113

Result

Final score

246 – 113

Prediction correct · off by 24 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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