Qualification · Qualification 60
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
173.6 – 93.73
73%27%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
203 – 102
Prediction correct · off by 18.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 484.9 ±11.7
Season APEX 107.4Event APEX 34.3Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 78.7Event APEX 20.54Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 298.8Event APEX 118.76Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 214 ±13.3
Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 22.07Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 5.1Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 111Event APEX 66.56Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 597, 7323, 2659
59
/ 100 compatProjected
173.6 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 597, 7323, 2659
Auto
38.7 22%
Teleop
88.7 51%
Endgame
47.1 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9772, 6658, 6560
40
/ 100 compatProjected
93.7 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 9772, 6658, 6560
Auto
22.6 26%
Teleop
36.4 42%
Endgame
28.5 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.17 · Blue 1.2
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score173.6pts
Blue projected score93.7pts
Red win probability73%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 63%, blue 61%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 79.9
- Score range
- 59–209
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
484.9Season APEX214
38.7Auto22.6
88.7Teleop36.4
47.1Endgame28.5
20Consistency4
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 28 | 23 |
| teleop | 119 | 53 |
| endgame | 46 | 26 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 203 | 102 |
Result
Final score
203 – 102
Prediction correct · off by 18.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.