Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

16.2 – 257.32

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

15 – 155

Prediction correct · off by 51.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 106.3 ±13.9

10147ArmBots

Season APEX 26.4Event APEX -6.57Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

22Double Deuce

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 16.92Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10166Thunder Vikes

Season APEX 19.1Event APEX 5.85Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 464.7 ±10.5

3512Spartatroniks

Season APEX 257Event APEX 176.02Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6560Charging Champions

Season APEX 111Event APEX 57.48Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2404Team NEY Techs (TNT)

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 23.82Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10147, 22, 10166

/ 100 compat

Projected

16.2 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10147, 22, 10166

Auto

8.1 37%

Teleop

2.3 10%

Endgame

11.7 53%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3512, 6560, 2404

/ 100 compat

Projected

257.3 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3512, 6560, 2404

Auto

43.4 17%

Teleop

141.5 57%

Endgame

65.3 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.71 · Blue 2.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score16.2pts

Blue projected score257.3pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -241.1
Score range: -22–295
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 170 vs event baseline 212.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

106.3Season APEX464.7

8.1Auto43.4

2.3Teleop141.5

11.7Endgame65.3

45Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	51
teleop	0	71
endgame	0	28
foul	0	5
total	15	155

Result

Final score

15 – 155

Prediction correct · off by 51.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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