Qualification · Qualification 57
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
103.61 – 139.08
39%61%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
179 – 86
Prediction missed · off by 64.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 210 ±13.3
Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 12.23Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 102.9Event APEX 81.68Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 9.7Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 285.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 44.59Rank 19Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 145.1Event APEX 87.29Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 19.1Event APEX 7.2Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9696, 6934, 8533
36
/ 100 compatProjected
103.6 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 9696, 6934, 8533
Auto
7.0 7%
Teleop
69.6 70%
Endgame
23.5 23%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1148, 696, 10166
49
/ 100 compatProjected
139.1 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 1148, 696, 10166
Auto
30.0 22%
Teleop
77.8 58%
Endgame
26.2 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.45 · Blue 1.85
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score103.6pts
Blue projected score139.1pts
Red win probability39%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 57%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -35.5
- Score range
- 68–175
- Upset likelihood
- 39%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
210Season APEX285.5
7Auto30
69.6Teleop77.8
23.5Endgame26.2
24Consistency8
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 30 | 16 |
| teleop | 61 | 45 |
| endgame | 43 | 25 |
| foul | 45 | 0 |
| total | 179 | 86 |
Result
Final score
179 – 86
Prediction missed · off by 64.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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