Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

314.91 – 236.37

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

312 – 196

Prediction correct · off by 21.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 448.7 ±11

6560Charging Champions

Season APEX 111Event APEX 66.07Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8033Highlander Robotics

Season APEX 146.1Event APEX 85.54Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6995NOMAD

Season APEX 191.6Event APEX 163.3Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 402.1 ±12.4

9520Rock-it Robotics

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX 20.54Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3512Spartatroniks

Season APEX 257Event APEX 166.86Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3965Sultan Robotics Team 3965

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 48.97Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6560, 8033, 6995

/ 100 compat

Projected

314.9 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6560, 8033, 6995

Auto

56.3 19%

Teleop

162.3 53%

Endgame

85.5 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9520, 3512, 3965

/ 100 compat

Projected

236.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9520, 3512, 3965

Auto

46.8 20%

Teleop

145.5 63%

Endgame

38.7 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.17 · Blue 1.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score314.9pts

Blue projected score236.4pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 73%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 78.5
Score range: 200–351
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 508 vs event baseline 198.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

448.7Season APEX402.1

56.3Auto46.8

162.3Teleop145.5

85.5Endgame38.7

56Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	21
teleop	189	90
endgame	70	85
foul	20	0
total	312	196

Result

Final score

312 – 196

Prediction correct · off by 21.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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