Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

103.61 – 112.49

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

37 – 215

Prediction correct · off by 84.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 171.4 ±13.9

9505Vyserions

Season APEX 54.4Event APEX 32.07Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

4964Roosevelt Robotics

Season APEX 65.8Event APEX 40.58Rank 10Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9772Titans Robotics

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 30.96Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 416.7 ±12.4

3255SuperNURDs

A+

Season APEX 296.9Event APEX 95.44Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

22Double Deuce

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 13.96Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6000Firehawk Robotics

Season APEX 59Event APEX 3.09Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9505, 4964, 9772

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.6 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9505, 4964, 9772

Auto

32.5 30%

Teleop

52.2 48%

Endgame

23.9 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3255, 22, 6000

/ 100 compat

Projected

112.5 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3255, 22, 6000

Auto

36.0 37%

Teleop

47.1 48%

Endgame

14.5 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.55 · Blue 1.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score103.6pts

Blue projected score112.5pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -8.9
Score range: 68–148
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 252 vs event baseline 199.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

171.4Season APEX416.7

32.5Auto36

52.2Teleop47.1

23.9Endgame14.5

0Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	40
teleop	4	140
endgame	8	35
foul	0	0
total	37	215

Result

Final score

37 – 215

Prediction correct · off by 84.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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