Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

186.7 – 322.57

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

137 – 407

Prediction correct · off by 67.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 227.2 ±13.3

702Bagel Bytes

Season APEX 125.8Event APEX 97.79Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10936Hooverstan

Season APEX 37.9Event APEX 29.3Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3965Sultan Robotics Team 3965

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 59.61Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 702.3 ±9.3

3512Spartatroniks

Season APEX 257Event APEX 158.19Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2659RoboWarriors

A+

Season APEX 298.8Event APEX 113.68Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4Team 4 ELEMENT

Season APEX 146.5Event APEX 50.7Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 702, 10936, 3965

/ 100 compat

Projected

186.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 702, 10936, 3965

Auto

42.5 24%

Teleop

95.2 53%

Endgame

41.9 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3512, 2659, 4

/ 100 compat

Projected

322.6 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3512, 2659, 4

Auto

29.7 9%

Teleop

219.6 68%

Endgame

73.1 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.99 · Blue 2.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score186.7pts

Blue projected score322.6pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 75%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -135.9
Score range: 151–359
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 544 vs event baseline 197.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

227.2Season APEX702.3

42.5Auto29.7

95.2Teleop219.6

41.9Endgame73.1

27Consistency66

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	52
teleop	94	265
endgame	17	90
foul	10	0
total	137	407

Result

Final score

137 – 407

Prediction correct · off by 67.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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