Qualification · Qualification 50
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
152 – 178.13
42%58%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
67 – 97
Prediction correct · off by 83.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 259.9 ±12.2
Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 23.57Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 72.82Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 55.61Rank 19Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 438.4 ±11.2
Season APEX 229.5Event APEX 79.9Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 5.87Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 145.1Event APEX 92.36Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 22, 5089, 1148
51
/ 100 compatProjected
152 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 22, 5089, 1148
Auto
24.2 18%
Teleop
70.6 51%
Endgame
42.5 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2429, 8533, 696
55
/ 100 compatProjected
178.1 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 2429, 8533, 696
Auto
43.2 25%
Teleop
106.3 61%
Endgame
23.8 14%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.41 · Blue 1.86
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score152pts
Blue projected score178.1pts
Red win probability42%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 50%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 11%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -26.1
- Score range
- 116–214
- Upset likelihood
- 42%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
259.9Season APEX438.4
24.2Auto43.2
70.6Teleop106.3
42.5Endgame23.8
10Consistency28
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 25 | 10 |
| teleop | 33 | 34 |
| endgame | 9 | 38 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 67 | 97 |
Result
Final score
67 – 97
Prediction correct · off by 83.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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