Qualification · Qualification 48
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
71.83 – 132.82
32%68%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
45 – 83
Prediction correct · off by 38.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 217.6 ±13.9
Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 39.75Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 59Event APEX 8.4Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 107.4Event APEX 23.68Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 237.7 ±13.3
Season APEX 65.8Event APEX 39.48Rank 10Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 60.9Event APEX 13.12Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 111Event APEX 80.22Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9772, 6000, 597
30
/ 100 compatProjected
71.8 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 9772, 6000, 597
Auto
25.0 39%
Teleop
20.4 32%
Endgame
18.2 29%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4964, 3328, 6560
50
/ 100 compatProjected
132.8 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 4964, 3328, 6560
Auto
41.2 31%
Teleop
57.6 44%
Endgame
32.2 25%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.23 · Blue 2.01
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score71.8pts
Blue projected score132.8pts
Red win probability32%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -61
- Score range
- 35–170
- Upset likelihood
- 32%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
217.6Season APEX237.7
25Auto41.2
20.4Teleop57.6
18.2Endgame32.2
14Consistency54
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 18 | 13 |
| teleop | 21 | 32 |
| endgame | 6 | 33 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 45 | 83 |
Result
Final score
45 – 83
Prediction correct · off by 38.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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