Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

282.22 – 350.48

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

270 – 289

Prediction correct · off by 36.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 369.2 ±12.2

702Bagel Bytes

Season APEX 125.8Event APEX 97.54Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6995NOMAD

Season APEX 191.6Event APEX 180.62Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6658Rockbotics

Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 4.06Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 533.3 ±10.5

8033Highlander Robotics

Season APEX 146.1Event APEX 88.95Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6934Scorps

Season APEX 102.9Event APEX 78.65Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7415Jaguar Robotics Sponsored By Feit Electric

Season APEX 284.3Event APEX 182.88Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 702, 6995, 6658

/ 100 compat

Projected

282.2 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 702, 6995, 6658

Auto

46.3 16%

Teleop

165.3 58%

Endgame

71.8 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8033, 6934, 7415

/ 100 compat

Projected

350.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8033, 6934, 7415

Auto

53.5 16%

Teleop

203.4 59%

Endgame

86.9 25%

Strengths

· 7415 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.34 · Blue 2.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score282.2pts

Blue projected score350.5pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -68.3
Score range: 246–386
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 559 vs event baseline 202.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

369.2Season APEX533.3

46.3Auto53.5

165.3Teleop203.4

71.8Endgame86.9

71Consistency91

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	39
teleop	113	143
endgame	69	107
foul	35	0
total	270	289

Result

Final score

270 – 289

Prediction correct · off by 36.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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