Qualification · Qualification 45
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
139.3 – 160.57
43%57%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
250 – 120
Prediction missed · off by 75.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 453.4 ±11.1
Season APEX 296.9Event APEX 77.43Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 78.7Event APEX 3.44Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 58.43Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 235 ±12.8
Season APEX 145.1Event APEX 94.24Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 59.83Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 26.4Event APEX 6.5Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3255, 7323, 5089
47
/ 100 compatProjected
139.3 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 3255, 7323, 5089
Auto
26.3 21%
Teleop
81.5 64%
Endgame
19.8 16%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 696, 3965, 10147
53
/ 100 compatProjected
160.6 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 696, 3965, 10147
Auto
52.0 33%
Teleop
72.3 46%
Endgame
31.8 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.48 · Blue 1.84
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score139.3pts
Blue projected score160.6pts
Red win probability43%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 62%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -21.3
- Score range
- 102–198
- Upset likelihood
- 43%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
453.4Season APEX235
26.3Auto52
81.5Teleop72.3
19.8Endgame31.8
35Consistency17
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 41 | 38 |
| teleop | 91 | 78 |
| endgame | 58 | 4 |
| foul | 60 | 0 |
| total | 250 | 120 |
Result
Final score
250 – 120
Prediction missed · off by 75.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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