Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

87.28 – 274.69

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

162 – 308

Prediction correct · off by 54 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 328.7 ±11.7

3328NoHoRobo

Season APEX 60.9Event APEX 0.67Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

4Team 4 ELEMENT

Season APEX 146.5Event APEX 37.84Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1148Harvard Westlake Robotics

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 48.77Rank 19Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 539.1 ±10.7

10936Hooverstan

Season APEX 37.9Event APEX 20.59Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9084Octobots

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 110.22Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3512Spartatroniks

Season APEX 257Event APEX 143.88Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3328, 4, 1148

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3328, 4, 1148

Auto

11.9 14%

Teleop

61.3 72%

Endgame

12.1 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10936, 9084, 3512

/ 100 compat

Projected

274.7 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10936, 9084, 3512

Auto

31.4 11%

Teleop

181.6 65%

Endgame

64.4 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.83 · Blue 2.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score87.3pts

Blue projected score274.7pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -187.4
Score range: 51–311
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 470 vs event baseline 202.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

328.7Season APEX539.1

11.9Auto31.4

61.3Teleop181.6

12.1Endgame64.4

67Consistency54

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	36
teleop	108	159
endgame	34	113
foul	10	0
total	162	308

Result

Final score

162 – 308

Prediction correct · off by 54 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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