Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

105.85 – 172.64

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

130 – 210

Prediction correct · off by 30.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 328.3 ±12.4

8060Command B

Season APEX 38Event APEX 0.98Rank 37Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 95

2429The Blockheads

Season APEX 229.5Event APEX 83.59Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

22Double Deuce

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 21.28Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 318.4 ±12.7

9520Rock-it Robotics

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX 5.1Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6560Charging Champions

Season APEX 111Event APEX 76.1Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

702Bagel Bytes

Season APEX 125.8Event APEX 91.44Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8060, 2429, 22

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.9 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 8060, 2429, 22

Auto

28.8 27%

Teleop

59.7 55%

Endgame

19.8 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9520, 6560, 702

/ 100 compat

Projected

172.6 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9520, 6560, 702

Auto

38.0 22%

Teleop

83.1 49%

Endgame

50.1 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.27 · Blue 2.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score105.9pts

Blue projected score172.6pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -66.8
Score range: 69–210
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 340 vs event baseline 202.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

328.3Season APEX318.4

28.8Auto38

59.7Teleop83.1

19.8Endgame50.1

60Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	50
teleop	55	113
endgame	43	47
foul	0	0
total	130	210

Result

Final score

130 – 210

Prediction correct · off by 30.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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