Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

143.79 – 361.55

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

91 – 329

Prediction correct · off by 42.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 216.3 ±13.3

9505Vyserions

Season APEX 54.4Event APEX 43.95Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

6934Scorps

Season APEX 102.9Event APEX 87.94Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6000Firehawk Robotics

Season APEX 59Event APEX 11.9Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 566.3 ±11.2

5026Iron Panthers

A+

Season APEX 312.8Event APEX 235.35Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

597The Wolverines

Season APEX 107.4Event APEX 33.07Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8033Highlander Robotics

Season APEX 146.1Event APEX 93.13Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9505, 6934, 6000

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9505, 6934, 6000

Auto

29.5 21%

Teleop

80.2 57%

Endgame

31.0 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5026, 597, 8033

/ 100 compat

Projected

361.6 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5026, 597, 8033

Auto

37.0 10%

Teleop

207.2 57%

Endgame

116.5 32%

Strengths

· 5026 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.79 · Blue 2.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score143.8pts

Blue projected score361.6pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -217.8
Score range: 108–398
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 420 vs event baseline 202.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

216.3Season APEX566.3

29.5Auto37

80.2Teleop207.2

31Endgame116.5

45Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	69
teleop	10	214
endgame	24	46
foul	20	0
total	91	329

Result

Final score

91 – 329

Prediction correct · off by 42.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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