Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

206.33 – 279.8

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

187 – 191

Prediction correct · off by 54.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 334.6 ±12.4

3512Spartatroniks

Season APEX 257Event APEX 131.93Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9772Titans Robotics

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 44.41Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10147ArmBots

Season APEX 26.4Event APEX 29.99Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 485.2 ±11.2

7415Jaguar Robotics Sponsored By Feit Electric

Season APEX 284.3Event APEX 176.1Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9505Vyserions

Season APEX 54.4Event APEX 59.89Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

4Team 4 ELEMENT

Season APEX 146.5Event APEX 43.81Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3512, 9772, 10147

/ 100 compat

Projected

206.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3512, 9772, 10147

Auto

37.7 19%

Teleop

129.1 64%

Endgame

34.1 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7415, 9505, 4

/ 100 compat

Projected

279.8 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7415, 9505, 4

Auto

42.4 15%

Teleop

150.8 54%

Endgame

87.3 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.26 · Blue 2.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score206.3pts

Blue projected score279.8pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -73.5
Score range: 168–318
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 378 vs event baseline 208.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

334.6Season APEX485.2

37.7Auto42.4

129.1Teleop150.8

34.1Endgame87.3

25Consistency76

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	66
teleop	95	109
endgame	67	16
foul	0	0
total	187	191

Result

Final score

187 – 191

Prediction correct · off by 54.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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