Qualification · Qualification 31
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
10.14 – 341.35
2%98%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
37 – 213
Prediction correct · off by 77.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 180.5 ±13.9
Season APEX 81.6Event APEX -3.51Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 60.9Event APEX 3.55Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 38Event APEX 10.1Rank 37Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 95
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 661.5 ±10.7
Season APEX 65.8Event APEX 76.9Rank 10Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 298.8Event APEX 147.85Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 296.9Event APEX 116.6Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9520, 3328, 8060
27
/ 100 compatProjected
10.1 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 9520, 3328, 8060
Auto
1.3 13%
Teleop
5.7 59%
Endgame
2.7 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4964, 2659, 3255
80
/ 100 compatProjected
341.4 pts
~2.7 RP (district)
Teams: 4964, 2659, 3255
Auto
51.4 15%
Teleop
222.3 67%
Endgame
59.0 18%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.71 · Blue 2.67
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score10.1pts
Blue projected score341.4pts
Red win probability2%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 60%, blue 63%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -331.2
- Score range
- -27–378
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
180.5Season APEX661.5
1.3Auto51.4
5.7Teleop222.3
2.7Endgame59
107Consistency74
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 22 | 47 |
| teleop | 12 | 119 |
| endgame | 3 | 47 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 37 | 213 |
Result
Final score
37 – 213
Prediction correct · off by 77.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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