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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

10.14341.35

2%98%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

37213

Prediction correct · off by 77.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 180.5 ±13.9
Season APEX 81.6Event APEX -3.51Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 60.9Event APEX 3.55Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 38Event APEX 10.1Rank 37Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 95
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 661.5 ±10.7
Season APEX 65.8Event APEX 76.9Rank 10Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 298.8Event APEX 147.85Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 296.9Event APEX 116.6Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9520, 3328, 8060
27
/ 100 compat
Projected
10.1 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 9520, 3328, 8060
Auto
1.3 13%
Teleop
5.7 59%
Endgame
2.7 28%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4964, 2659, 3255
80
/ 100 compat
Projected
341.4 pts
~2.7 RP (district)
Teams: 4964, 2659, 3255
Auto
51.4 15%
Teleop
222.3 67%
Endgame
59.0 18%
Strengths
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.71 · Blue 2.67
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score10.1pts
Blue projected score341.4pts
Red win probability2%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 60%, blue 63%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-331.2
Score range
-27378
Upset likelihood
2%
Data cutoff
2026-08-16
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 250 vs event baseline 204.4.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

180.5Season APEX661.5
1.3Auto51.4
5.7Teleop222.3
2.7Endgame59
107Consistency74

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto2247
teleop12119
endgame347
foul00
total37213

Result

Final score

37213

Prediction correct · off by 77.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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