Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

5.76 – 120.44

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

45 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 35.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 223.6 ±12.8

1148Harvard Westlake Robotics

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX -0.23Rank 19Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9696Hamichanics

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX -11.38Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

6000Firehawk Robotics

Season APEX 59Event APEX 17.37Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 265.3 ±12.7

702Bagel Bytes

Season APEX 125.8Event APEX 73.66Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

22Double Deuce

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 28.56Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7323TriTron

Season APEX 78.7Event APEX 18.22Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1148, 9696, 6000

/ 100 compat

Projected

5.8 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1148, 9696, 6000

Auto

9.2 98%

Teleop

26.1 100%

Endgame

-25.9 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 702, 22, 7323

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 702, 22, 7323

Auto

21.5 19%

Teleop

53.3 47%

Endgame

39.0 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.95 · Blue 2.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score5.8pts

Blue projected score120.4pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -114.7
Score range: -32–158
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 133 vs event baseline 209.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

223.6Season APEX265.3

9.2Auto21.5

26.1Teleop53.3

-25.9Endgame39

27Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	45
teleop	13	26
endgame	0	17
foul	5	0
total	45	88

Result

Final score

45 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 35.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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