Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

86.73 – 56.25

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

97 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 7.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 250.9 ±12.8

4964Roosevelt Robotics

Season APEX 65.8Event APEX 26.59Rank 10Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1148Harvard Westlake Robotics

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 38.12Rank 19Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8533Rancho Reapers

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 22.02Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 168.5 ±13.3

6658Rockbotics

Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 4.21Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8060Command B

Season APEX 38Event APEX 22.75Rank 37Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 95

7323TriTron

Season APEX 78.7Event APEX 29.29Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4964, 1148, 8533

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.7 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4964, 1148, 8533

Auto

23.1 29%

Teleop

40.4 50%

Endgame

17.1 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6658, 8060, 7323

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.3 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6658, 8060, 7323

Auto

18.4 34%

Teleop

17.0 31%

Endgame

18.6 34%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.75 · Blue 1.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score86.7pts

Blue projected score56.3pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 30.5
Score range: 18–125
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 149 vs event baseline 212.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

250.9Season APEX168.5

23.1Auto18.4

40.4Teleop17

17.1Endgame18.6

13Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	19
teleop	67	14
endgame	8	19
foul	0	0
total	97	52

Result

Final score

97 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 7.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.