Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

81.89 – 115.36

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

158 – 168

Prediction correct · off by 64.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 280.7 ±11.7

2404Team NEY Techs (TNT)

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 8.26Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8033Highlander Robotics

Season APEX 146.1Event APEX 69.08Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10936Hooverstan

Season APEX 37.9Event APEX 4.55Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 326.4 ±11.7

10166Thunder Vikes

Season APEX 19.1Event APEX -9.08Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

5089Robo-Nerds

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 42.69Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2429The Blockheads

Season APEX 229.5Event APEX 81.75Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2404, 8033, 10936

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 2404, 8033, 10936

Auto

10.4 14%

Teleop

39.5 51%

Endgame

26.8 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10166, 5089, 2429

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.4 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10166, 5089, 2429

Auto

30.3 26%

Teleop

73.5 62%

Endgame

14.3 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.37 · Blue 1.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score81.9pts

Blue projected score115.4pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -33.5
Score range: 44–153
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 326 vs event baseline 210.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

280.7Season APEX326.4

10.4Auto30.3

39.5Teleop73.5

26.8Endgame14.3

58Consistency18

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	26
teleop	61	58
endgame	56	69
foul	5	15
total	158	168

Result

Final score

158 – 168

Prediction correct · off by 64.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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