Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

215.23 – 238.04

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

370 – 253

Prediction missed · off by 84.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 456.5 ±11.2

3512Spartatroniks

Season APEX 257Event APEX 109.65Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

696Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 145.1Event APEX 76.75Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9505Vyserions

Season APEX 54.4Event APEX 28.83Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 503.2 ±11.7

6560Charging Champions

Season APEX 111Event APEX 44.83Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3501Firebots

Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 165.98Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

597The Wolverines

Season APEX 107.4Event APEX 27.23Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3512, 696, 9505

/ 100 compat

Projected

215.2 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3512, 696, 9505

Auto

65.5 30%

Teleop

108.0 50%

Endgame

42.9 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6560, 3501, 597

/ 100 compat

Projected

238 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6560, 3501, 597

Auto

48.9 21%

Teleop

130.3 57%

Endgame

48.9 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.67 · Blue 1.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score215.2pts

Blue projected score238pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -22.8
Score range: 178–275
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 623 vs event baseline 207.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

456.5Season APEX503.2

65.5Auto48.9

108Teleop130.3

42.9Endgame48.9

74Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	53
teleop	228	110
endgame	83	90
foul	0	0
total	370	253

Result

Final score

370 – 253

Prediction missed · off by 84.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.