Qualification · Qualification 27
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
352.42 – 340.89
54%46%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
349 – 513
Prediction missed · off by 87.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 579.7 ±10.7
Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 140.71Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 48.22Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 284.3Event APEX 163.49Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 711.3 ±10.7
Season APEX 334.7Event APEX 153.13Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 2.88Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 312.8Event APEX 184.88Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9084, 9772, 7415
84
/ 100 compatProjected
352.4 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 9084, 9772, 7415
Auto
53.3 15%
Teleop
221.5 63%
Endgame
76.2 22%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 62%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6036, 8533, 5026
79
/ 100 compatProjected
340.9 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 6036, 8533, 5026
Auto
24.9 7%
Teleop
237.5 70%
Endgame
78.2 23%
Strengths
- · 5026 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 62%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.78 · Blue 1.69
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score352.4pts
Blue projected score340.9pts
Red win probability54%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 62%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 17%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 11.5
- Score range
- 305–388
- Upset likelihood
- 46%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
579.7Season APEX711.3
53.3Auto24.9
221.5Teleop237.5
76.2Endgame78.2
112Consistency78
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 63 | 82 |
| teleop | 170 | 315 |
| endgame | 116 | 116 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 349 | 513 |
Result
Final score
349 – 513
Prediction missed · off by 87.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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