Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 224.24

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

30 – 307

Prediction correct · off by 56.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 150.6 ±13.9

10936Hooverstan

Season APEX 37.9Event APEX -7.11Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6658Rockbotics

Season APEX 51.8Event APEX -25.04Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3328NoHoRobo

Season APEX 60.9Event APEX 0.6Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 542.4 ±9.8

2429The Blockheads

Season APEX 229.5Event APEX 69.82Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1148Harvard Westlake Robotics

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX -19.7Rank 19Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6995NOMAD

Season APEX 191.6Event APEX 174.12Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10936, 6658, 3328

/ 100 compat

Projected

-31.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10936, 6658, 3328

Auto

15.0 0%

Teleop

-65.4 100%

Endgame

22.2 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2429, 1148, 6995

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.2 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2429, 1148, 6995

Auto

53.0 24%

Teleop

121.2 55%

Endgame

46.0 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.7 · Blue 2.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score-31.5pts

Blue projected score224.2pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -224.2
Score range: -36–260
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 337 vs event baseline 200.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

150.6Season APEX542.4

15Auto53

-65.4Teleop121.2

22.2Endgame46

105Consistency131

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	81
teleop	16	181
endgame	4	45
foul	0	0
total	30	307

Result

Final score

30 – 307

Prediction correct · off by 56.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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