Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

92.71 – 233.9

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

277 – 382

Prediction correct · off by 166.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 428.9 ±11.7

6560Charging Champions

Season APEX 111Event APEX 2.14Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10166Thunder Vikes

Season APEX 19.1Event APEX -36.44Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

2659RoboWarriors

A+

Season APEX 298.8Event APEX 127.01Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 439.4 ±12.4

22Double Deuce

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 26.31Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5026Iron Panthers

A+

Season APEX 312.8Event APEX 143.33Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4964Roosevelt Robotics

Season APEX 65.8Event APEX 64.26Rank 10Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6560, 10166, 2659

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6560, 10166, 2659

Auto

33.1 36%

Teleop

40.0 43%

Endgame

20.1 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 22, 5026, 4964

/ 100 compat

Projected

233.9 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 22, 5026, 4964

Auto

31.7 14%

Teleop

170.1 74%

Endgame

29.1 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.03 · Blue 2.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score92.7pts

Blue projected score233.9pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -141.2
Score range: 58–269
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 659 vs event baseline 195.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

428.9Season APEX439.4

33.1Auto31.7

40Teleop170.1

20.1Endgame29.1

63Consistency68

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	44
teleop	155	223
endgame	78	115
foul	0	0
total	277	382

Result

Final score

277 – 382

Prediction correct · off by 166.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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