Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

322.48 – 212.09

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

244 – 307

Prediction missed · off by 86.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 546.8 ±10.5

6934Scorps

Season APEX 102.9Event APEX 99.06Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

696Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 145.1Event APEX 103.9Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2659RoboWarriors

A+

Season APEX 298.8Event APEX 119.52Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 497.4 ±11.2

9505Vyserions

Season APEX 54.4Event APEX 20.46Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

8033Highlander Robotics

Season APEX 146.1Event APEX 80.92Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3255SuperNURDs

A+

Season APEX 296.9Event APEX 110.71Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6934, 696, 2659

/ 100 compat

Projected

322.5 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6934, 696, 2659

Auto

44.8 14%

Teleop

188.4 60%

Endgame

83.2 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9505, 8033, 3255

/ 100 compat

Projected

212.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9505, 8033, 3255

Auto

41.9 20%

Teleop

118.7 58%

Endgame

45.7 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.45 · Blue 1.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score322.5pts

Blue projected score212.1pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 110.4
Score range: 174–360
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 551 vs event baseline 212.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

546.8Season APEX497.4

44.8Auto41.9

188.4Teleop118.7

83.2Endgame45.7

50Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	60
teleop	114	191
endgame	93	56
foul	0	0
total	244	307

Result

Final score

244 – 307

Prediction missed · off by 86.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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