Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

121.77 – 310.54

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

41 – 177

Prediction correct · off by 107.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 206.1 ±13.9

22Double Deuce

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 37.11Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10936Hooverstan

Season APEX 37.9Event APEX 18.97Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

597The Wolverines

Season APEX 107.4Event APEX 65.69Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 469.3 ±11.7

3501Firebots

Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 174.66Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9520Rock-it Robotics

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX 65.71Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6934Scorps

Season APEX 102.9Event APEX 70.17Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 22, 10936, 597

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 22, 10936, 597

Auto

28.0 24%

Teleop

43.8 38%

Endgame

44.1 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3501, 9520, 6934

/ 100 compat

Projected

310.5 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3501, 9520, 6934

Auto

36.3 12%

Teleop

169.3 55%

Endgame

102.4 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.79 · Blue 2.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score121.8pts

Blue projected score310.5pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 73%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -188.8
Score range: 87–346
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 218 vs event baseline 195.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

206.1Season APEX469.3

28Auto36.3

43.8Teleop169.3

44.1Endgame102.4

40Consistency115

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	27
teleop	11	104
endgame	10	31
foul	5	15
total	41	177

Result

Final score

41 – 177

Prediction correct · off by 107.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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