Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

179.26 – 279.81

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

41 – 372

Prediction correct · off by 115.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 295.5 ±12.2

8060Command B

Season APEX 38Event APEX 13.35Rank 37Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 95

6560Charging Champions

Season APEX 111Event APEX 68.12Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4Team 4 ELEMENT

Season APEX 146.5Event APEX 97.79Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 585.3 ±11.2

6995NOMAD

Season APEX 191.6Event APEX 98.54Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6000Firehawk Robotics

Season APEX 59Event APEX 35.9Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

6036Peninsula Robotics

Season APEX 334.7Event APEX 145.37Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8060, 6560, 4

/ 100 compat

Projected

179.3 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8060, 6560, 4

Auto

18.0 10%

Teleop

108.0 60%

Endgame

55.2 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6995, 6000, 6036

/ 100 compat

Projected

279.8 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6995, 6000, 6036

Auto

59.0 22%

Teleop

156.4 57%

Endgame

58.9 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.16 · Blue 2.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score179.3pts

Blue projected score279.8pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -100.6
Score range: 144–315
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 413 vs event baseline 194.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

295.5Season APEX585.3

18Auto59

108Teleop156.4

55.2Endgame58.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	56
teleop	31	251
endgame	0	60
foul	0	5
total	41	372

Result

Final score

41 – 372

Prediction correct · off by 115.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.