Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

173.38 – 174.76

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

32 – 116

Prediction correct · off by 100.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 212 ±12.8

3965Sultan Robotics Team 3965

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 127.3Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2404Team NEY Techs (TNT)

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 9.88Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6658Rockbotics

Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 36.2Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 277.9 ±12.8

9772Titans Robotics

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 31.81Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9520Rock-it Robotics

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX 79.65Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

696Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 145.1Event APEX 63.3Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3965, 2404, 6658

/ 100 compat

Projected

173.4 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3965, 2404, 6658

Auto

37.4 21%

Teleop

98.7 57%

Endgame

38.2 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9772, 9520, 696

/ 100 compat

Projected

174.8 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9772, 9520, 696

Auto

40.6 24%

Teleop

88.6 52%

Endgame

42.5 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.63 · Blue 1.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score173.4pts

Blue projected score174.8pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -1.4
Score range: 135–213
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 148 vs event baseline 211.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

212Season APEX277.9

37.4Auto40.6

98.7Teleop88.6

38.2Endgame42.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	36
teleop	14	65
endgame	5	10
foul	0	5
total	32	116

Result

Final score

32 – 116

Prediction correct · off by 100.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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