Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

126.45 – 280.82

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

263 – 238

Prediction missed · off by 89.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 428.8 ±11.7

7323TriTron

Season APEX 78.7Event APEX 27.17Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7415Jaguar Robotics Sponsored By Feit Electric

Season APEX 284.3Event APEX 103.36Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4964Roosevelt Robotics

Season APEX 65.8Event APEX -4.08Rank 10Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 424.9 ±11.1

5089Robo-Nerds

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 88.58Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9084Octobots

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 102.51Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6934Scorps

Season APEX 102.9Event APEX 89.73Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7323, 7415, 4964

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7323, 7415, 4964

Auto

38.7 30%

Teleop

52.8 41%

Endgame

36.3 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5089, 9084, 6934

/ 100 compat

Projected

280.8 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5089, 9084, 6934

Auto

43.9 16%

Teleop

178.4 65%

Endgame

51.7 19%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.91 · Blue 2.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score126.5pts

Blue projected score280.8pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -154.4
Score range: 89–318
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 501 vs event baseline 208.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

428.8Season APEX424.9

38.7Auto43.9

52.8Teleop178.4

36.3Endgame51.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	68	0
teleop	133	193
endgame	47	45
foul	15	0
total	263	238

Result

Final score

263 – 238

Prediction missed · off by 89.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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