Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

55.67 – 150.52

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

173 – 86

Prediction missed · off by 90.9 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 369.6 ±12.4

6658Rockbotics

Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 7.09Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3512Spartatroniks

Season APEX 257Event APEX 44.29Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

22Double Deuce

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 4.29Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 286.1 ±11.2

8060Command B

Season APEX 38Event APEX 7.09Rank 37Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 95

2404Team NEY Techs (TNT)

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 44.29Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11024HYPERNOVA

Season APEX 151.4Event APEX 99.14Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6658, 3512, 22

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.7 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6658, 3512, 22

Auto

20.5 38%

Teleop

23.1 43%

Endgame

10.7 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8060, 2404, 11024

/ 100 compat

Projected

150.5 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 8060, 2404, 11024

Auto

28.7 20%

Teleop

85.4 58%

Endgame

32.2 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.22 · Blue 2.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score55.7pts

Blue projected score150.5pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -94.9
Score range: 18–189
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 259 vs event baseline 213.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

369.6Season APEX286.1

20.5Auto28.7

23.1Teleop85.4

10.7Endgame32.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	9
teleop	110	38
endgame	38	39
foul	0	0
total	173	86

Result

Final score

173 – 86

Prediction missed · off by 90.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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