Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

354.98 – 403.24

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

350 – 267

Prediction missed · off by 70.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 572.6 ±9.8

2404Team NEY Techs (TNT)

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 23.77Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7415Jaguar Robotics Sponsored By Feit Electric

Season APEX 284.3Event APEX 163.02Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6995NOMAD

Season APEX 191.6Event APEX 168.19Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 798.9 ±8.7

11024HYPERNOVA

Season APEX 151.4Event APEX 11Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6036Peninsula Robotics

Season APEX 334.7Event APEX 189.72Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5026Iron Panthers

A+

Season APEX 312.8Event APEX 202.52Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2404, 7415, 6995

/ 100 compat

Projected

355 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 2404, 7415, 6995

Auto

76.4 22%

Teleop

187.8 55%

Endgame

78.9 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11024, 6036, 5026

/ 100 compat

Projected

403.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11024, 6036, 5026

Auto

79.0 20%

Teleop

236.1 59%

Endgame

81.8 21%

Strengths

· 5026 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.38 · Blue 1.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score355pts

Blue projected score403.2pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -48.3
Score range: 317–441
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 617 vs event baseline 210.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

572.6Season APEX798.9

76.4Auto79

187.8Teleop236.1

78.9Endgame81.8

46Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	65
teleop	167	143
endgame	113	24
foul	30	35
total	350	267

Result

Final score

350 – 267

Prediction missed · off by 70.6 pts

Match videos

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