Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

369.44 – 418.56

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

249 – 277

Prediction correct · off by 131 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 572.6 ±9.8

2404Team NEY Techs (TNT)

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 28.29Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7415Jaguar Robotics Sponsored By Feit Electric

Season APEX 284.3Event APEX 167.32Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6995NOMAD

Season APEX 191.6Event APEX 173.83Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 798.9 ±8.7

11024HYPERNOVA

Season APEX 151.4Event APEX 16.3Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6036Peninsula Robotics

Season APEX 334.7Event APEX 194.95Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5026Iron Panthers

A+

Season APEX 312.8Event APEX 207.31Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2404, 7415, 6995

/ 100 compat

Projected

369.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 2404, 7415, 6995

Auto

81.2 22%

Teleop

202.7 56%

Endgame

78.5 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11024, 6036, 5026

/ 100 compat

Projected

418.6 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11024, 6036, 5026

Auto

78.4 19%

Teleop

247.0 60%

Endgame

85.6 21%

Strengths

· 5026 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.37 · Blue 1.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score369.4pts

Blue projected score418.6pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -49.1
Score range: 331–457
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 526 vs event baseline 210.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

572.6Season APEX798.9

81.2Auto78.4

202.7Teleop247

78.5Endgame85.6

44Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	82
teleop	80	144
endgame	81	51
foul	45	0
total	249	277

Result

Final score

249 – 277

Prediction correct · off by 131 pts

Match videos

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