Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

401.96 – 191.64

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

344 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 59.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 583.5 ±10.7

10615Spartan110

Season APEX 71.5Event APEX 25.79Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3256WarriorBorgs

Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 199.86Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

972Iron Claw

Season APEX 229.8Event APEX 176.31Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 325.6 ±11

1700Gatorbotics

Season APEX 69Event APEX 20.35Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6418The Missfits

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 98.64Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5419Berkelium

Season APEX 98.9Event APEX 72.65Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10615, 3256, 972

/ 100 compat

Projected

402 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10615, 3256, 972

Auto

86.0 21%

Teleop

250.2 62%

Endgame

69.2 17%

Strengths

· 3256 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1700, 6418, 5419

/ 100 compat

Projected

191.6 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1700, 6418, 5419

Auto

40.1 21%

Teleop

107.0 57%

Endgame

40.2 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.68 · Blue 0.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score402pts

Blue projected score191.6pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 210.3
Score range: 160–434
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 596 vs event baseline 179.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

583.5Season APEX325.6

86Auto40.1

250.2Teleop107

69.2Endgame40.2

0Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	92	60
teleop	163	115
endgame	89	77
foul	0	0
total	344	252

Result

Final score

344 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 59.2 pts

Match videos

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