Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
414.59 – 134.03
97%3%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
284 – 232
Prediction correct · off by 114.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 616.3 ±9.3
Season APEX 104.3Event APEX 20.48Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 229.8Event APEX 185.37Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 208.74Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 198.9 ±13.3
Season APEX 60.5Event APEX 39.48Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 56.21Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 38.34Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10339, 972, 3256
81
/ 100 compatProjected
414.6 pts
~2.7 RP (district)
Teams: 10339, 972, 3256
Auto
95.9 23%
Teleop
239.8 58%
Endgame
78.4 19%
Strengths
- · 3256 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2473, 199, 10644
55
/ 100 compatProjected
134 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 2473, 199, 10644
Auto
20.2 15%
Teleop
72.3 54%
Endgame
41.2 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.66 · Blue 0.7
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score414.6pts
Blue projected score134pts
Red win probability97%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 61%, blue 60%
Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 280.6
- Score range
- 102–447
- Upset likelihood
- 3%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
616.3Season APEX198.9
95.9Auto20.2
239.8Teleop72.3
78.4Endgame41.2
4Consistency86
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 52 | 33 |
| teleop | 207 | 115 |
| endgame | 25 | 74 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 284 | 232 |
Result
Final score
284 – 232
Prediction correct · off by 114.3 pts
Match videos
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