Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

200.19 – 105.14

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

318 – 143

Prediction correct · off by 77.8 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 464.8 ±10.5

192GRT

Season APEX 113.6Event APEX 40.57Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3256WarriorBorgs

Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 141.91Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1700Gatorbotics

Season APEX 69Event APEX 17.71Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 211.1 ±12.7

4904Bot-Provoking

Season APEX 65.4Event APEX 40.57Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9038SF UNITY

Season APEX 74.2Event APEX 46.86Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10615Spartan110

Season APEX 71.5Event APEX 17.71Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 192, 3256, 1700

/ 100 compat

Projected

200.2 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 192, 3256, 1700

Auto

37.2 19%

Teleop

125.1 62%

Endgame

37.9 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4904, 9038, 10615

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4904, 9038, 10615

Auto

27.7 26%

Teleop

53.7 51%

Endgame

23.7 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.14 · Blue 1.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score200.2pts

Blue projected score105.1pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 95.1
Score range: 75–230
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 461 vs event baseline 165.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

464.8Season APEX211.1

37.2Auto27.7

125.1Teleop53.7

37.9Endgame23.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	64	46
teleop	187	60
endgame	67	37
foul	0	0
total	318	143

Result

Final score

318 – 143

Prediction correct · off by 77.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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