Qualification · Qualification 78
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
129.09 – 306.04
10%90%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
123 – 319
Prediction correct · off by 9.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 205.7 ±13.3
Season APEX 74.2Event APEX 55.63Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 44.53Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 28.93Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 501 ±10.5
Season APEX 283Event APEX 158.74Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 102.27Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 45.03Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9038, 4186, 7245
47
/ 100 compatProjected
129.1 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 9038, 4186, 7245
Auto
20.6 16%
Teleop
82.9 65%
Endgame
23.1 18%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4698, 6418, 10281
81
/ 100 compatProjected
306 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 4698, 6418, 10281
Auto
63.3 22%
Teleop
170.0 58%
Endgame
60.4 21%
Strengths
- · 4698 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.81 · Blue 2.44
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score129.1pts
Blue projected score306pts
Red win probability10%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -177
- Score range
- 97–338
- Upset likelihood
- 10%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
205.7Season APEX501
20.6Auto63.3
82.9Teleop170
23.1Endgame60.4
14Consistency28
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 31 | 78 |
| teleop | 51 | 168 |
| endgame | 41 | 68 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 123 | 319 |
Result
Final score
123 – 319
Prediction correct · off by 9.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.