Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

210.86 – 133.59

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

204 – 92

Prediction correct · off by 24.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 354.7 ±11

5419Berkelium

Season APEX 98.9Event APEX 78.08Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8852Drew Robotics

Season APEX 151.5Event APEX 110.4Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10339BrainShift

Season APEX 104.3Event APEX 22.38Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 236.2 ±12.2

2204Rambots

Season APEX 109.9Event APEX 60.08Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1700Gatorbotics

Season APEX 69Event APEX 30.57Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4669Galileo Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 42.94Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5419, 8852, 10339

/ 100 compat

Projected

210.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5419, 8852, 10339

Auto

44.0 22%

Teleop

113.5 56%

Endgame

46.4 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2204, 1700, 4669

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2204, 1700, 4669

Auto

17.5 15%

Teleop

72.0 62%

Endgame

26.0 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.06 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score210.9pts

Blue projected score133.6pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 77.3
Score range: 102–243
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 296 vs event baseline 176.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

354.7Season APEX236.2

44Auto17.5

113.5Teleop72

46.4Endgame26

15Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	71	19
teleop	106	27
endgame	27	46
foul	0	0
total	204	92

Result

Final score

204 – 92

Prediction correct · off by 24.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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